Mangaluru: Present Population Trend Moving Towards Making Hindus Minority by 2061 – S V Vadiraj

Mangaluru: Samarasya Vedike (SV) held a meet to analyze the 2011 census at Sanganikethana here, on January 19.


Speaking on this occasion, Prantha Sanchalaka of SV, Vadiraj said that the first census was conducted in India in the year 1861 and has been conducted every 10 years ever since. He went on to show the census data from Pakistan and Bangladesh on a Power Point presentation, which showed the percentage of population based on religion. The slides showed increase in the Muslim and Christian population where as a significant decrease in the population of Hindus and other religions combined. The census data from Pakistan showed that in 1901, Muslim population stood at 83.87% whereas in 2011, it had increased to 96.6%. The Christian figures stood at 0.19% in 1901 and 1.8% in 2011. The Hindu population however saw a major downfall from 15.93% in 1901 to mere 1.6% in 2011. “This fall might have been due to migration and deaths during the partition,” he added.

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Vadiraj then went on to show the census data of India. In 1951, the percentage of Muslim population was 10.43% which saw an increase to 14.23% in 2011. The Christian population seemed to fluctuate just a little with 2.33% in 1951 to 2.03% in 2011. The Hindu population however had declined in India with 87% in 1951 to 82.59% in 2011. “A Chennai based NGO, Centre for Population Studies (CPS) published a book named Religious Demography of India. If we go through the page 37 in the book, we will see a study which shows that if this trend continues, Hindus will be a minority in India by 2061,” he said.

The slides further showed the states that already have the Hindu community as a minority with Punjab with 36.9% Hindus and Lakshwadeep at the lowest with just 3.7% of the total population being Hindus. Jammu and Kashmir had 29.6% Hindus, Nagaland had 7.7%, Mizoram 3.6%, Meghalaya 13.3%, Manipur 46% and Arunachal Pradesh at 34.6%. “Other states which are on the brink of attaining a Hindu minority status are, Kerala 54.7%, Assam 61.4%, West Bengal 70%, Uttar Pradesh 79%, Bihar 83%,” Vadiraj said.

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Vadiraj further said, “There has been a lot of insurgency of Muslim population from neighbouring country of Bangladesh. The political leaders in the states provide the migrants with Indian identity by issuing voters ID cards, Aadhar cards, ration cards for the sake of votes.” He said that the appeal of Taslima, a Bangladeshi writer to seek asylum in India was rejected for political reasons. Taslima is a controversial writer who had fatwa’s issued against her for her writings against certain practices in Islam. “When they can’t give asylum to a woman in distress, how can they give refuge to so many insurgents?” he questioned.

Vadiraj said that Karnataka was the only state that hadn’t seen any decrease in the population of Hindus. He cited the migration of Hindus to cities like Bengaluru seeking employment as the reason for this. However, the neighbouring state of Kerala had a different story to tell. There was a significant increase in the population of Christians and Muslims in Kerala. “There are 24 lakh Muslims from Kerala who are working abroad and are not included in the census data. India has lot of money flowing in from the gulf countries, with the district of Mallapuram itself contributing Rs 84000 crores annually from these NRI’s,” he said.

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“The percentage of Hindus having just one child has gone up to 40% in 2011 from 10% in 2001. This will further reduce the population of Hindus. If we see the voting pattern in Kerala, Christians and Muslims vote for the Congress party. So far it was only the Hindus and a few Muslims who were voting for the Communist party. Now the trend is changing and Hindus are voting for the BJP. This is a big threat for the communist party as no Muslim state or nation has ever had a communist party,” Vadiraj said about the possible change in fate of the Communist party in Kerala.

He further said, “If we just consider the children below the age of six, we will see that 18.7% of the population is Muslim, 15.6% are Hindus, Christians are 13.5%, Sikh 12.8%, Buddhist at 14.4% and the rest belong to other religions. So in the future, the majority will be Muslims.”

He said that 60% of the parliamentarians had won the seat with just 30% votes. “The so called Regional parties should be called caste parties as they depend on votes from the people of their caste. Why don’t we see JD(S) win in Dakshina Kannada? KJP didn’t contest even in Bengaluru as there was none form their caste in Bengaluru to give them votes. The aim of the candidates is to secure votes from their caste and get votes from the Muslim community, this will give them more than 30% votes and if we see the statistics, these many votes are enough to secure a majority,” Vadiraj said.

He said that Right To Education (RTE) should be made compulsory in minority institutions as well. “Even minority institutions should be asked to reserve 25% seats to students of poor economic background,” Vadiraj added.

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He said that in India Hindus were turning to be a ‘little too sophisticated’ as on the day of elections, Hindus preferred to go out on a picnic rather that exercise their franchise.

Vadiraj said that Muslims are usually not involved in the practice of agriculture and instead belonged to a class of traders and merchants. They were the ones who gave work to others and Hindus were the workers under them. Muslims being entrepreneurs have amassed huge wealth. When Hindus migrated to bigger cities for a better future, their ancestral land was bought by rich Muslims and not Hindus. “If we see the property listed in Kerala, we will find that Muslims ranked first followed by Christians and Hindus are on the third spot,” he said.


  1. Dear readers,

    Time and again, many a leader from right-wing Hindu formations have advised Hindu women to serve the ‘nation’ by producing more children, and interestingly, the celibate ones amongst these advisers are more vociferous on these matters!

    Disturbed by these projections, Sadhvi Prachi advised that Hindu women should produce 40 children each while Sakshi Maharaj, a BJP member of Parliament, advised four children each for Hindu women.

    Are the reasons purely religious; the growth of Islam? If they are, then logically, the countries ahead of India (Pakistan and Indonesia) should keep the same pace and remain ahead of India as far as the population of Muslims is concerned.

    But if gravitation towards Islam is the reason, why should the number of Muslims in India overtake the number in other countries? The argument of religion being the determining factor in matters of population growth, therefore, is invalid.

    In India, the number of Muslim couples in the child bearing age, practicing family planning in 1970 was at 9 per cent (14 per cent for Hindus) and in 1980, at 22.5 per cent (36.1 per cent for Hindus). [Operation Research Group: Baroda 1981]

    Thus, the number of additional Muslims taking to family planning is keeping pace with the number of Hindus doing the same.

    Dr Rakesh Basant, an economist with IIM Ahmadabad and a mem­ber of the Sachar committee, points out that at present “there is (only) a 0.7-point difference between the Muslim and the average fertility rates. While the average fertility rate is 2.9, for Muslims it is 3.6.”

    He emphasises that 37 per cent of Muslims use contraceptives against a national average of 48 per cent. Therefore, contraceptive usage is about 10 percentage points lower among Muslims than the average.

    Let us have a look at the regional differences in the population growth of Hindus in India. Here, the gross observation is that in the more literate southern states, like Tamil Nadu, Karnataka and Kerala, the percentage rise of even the Hindu population is less than the percentage rise of Hindu population in northern states like UP, Bihar and Madhya Pradesh.

    In December 2005, the then RSS chief [sarsanghchalak] KS Sudharshan had also urged the majority community in a similar manner. He said that 3-4 children per couple would keep the ‘changing religious demography’ in control.
    Just imagine had any other religious community [like a Muslim cleric from Nadwatul Ulema or Deoband] made such a statement, what would have happened?

    In conclusion, it would be most appropriate to ask why the census of India has not yet published data according to religion for essential social and economic indicators — such as literacy rates and levels of literacy, work participation rates according to occupation, and the distribution of public employment in national and state governments. Such data highlight the participation of various religious communities in public spaces and also provide a better yardstick to measure equal opportunities in India.
    The sadhvis and sadhus in Parliament would be better-off shouting slogans that favour the establishment of national- and state-level equal opportunity commissions in India. Also, it is time the Union government established a committee to review the improvement in the social, economic and educational situation of the 175-million strong Indian Muslim community since the Sachar Committee turned in its report.

    It is this gender imbalance that is really threatening Hinduism [and India]. There are vast regions where there are less than 800 girls for 1,000 boys. Even the upper class and middle-class want the ‘baby boy’. If the first child is a girl, many go for second, in the hope to have a boy.

    If the RSS leaders take up real issues that affect the nation, they would be taken more seriously. It may also strike chord with the young generation. However, they remain stuck in regressive rhetoric. Sangh also needs to look at itself.

    Do they have contingency plan to feed the 80 crores with falling economy and high cost of living were who are subjugated within their own caste system?Are these RSS Kanishmari census masters,has any data on malnutrition,unemployment,death rate etc.??

    RSS wants Hindus to have more children: Shouldn’t Sangh leaders take up real issues like female foeticide rather than perpetuating old myths?

    Shouldn’t the swayam-sevaks [volunteers] shun celibacy and marry, in order to increase the numbers of Hindus?

    Jai Hind

    • People like Lawrence astonish me!! They live in a parallel universe where ‘quality’ matters more than ‘quantity’ when it comes to religion. Any idea what happens when ‘peaceful’ folks become a majority in a society? There are hundreds of examples of this and still we have clueless folks like Lawrence who live in denial!!!! Really sad and depressing.

      • There are good quality people in each and every religion, race, caste and nationality. “Peaceful” or “Majority” good quality people bring civility and make entire society peaceful with real meaning of peaceful. BTW, take your pills for the depression.

  2. Once again, the denial mindset and lack of awareness shown by Lawrence astonish me. I don’t how anyone can be this clueless in a world where breaking news can be read in your smart phones!! He personifies what one of the free thinkers Gad Saad calls ‘Ostrich Brigade’!!! Oh well, when was Beef Club known for any rational, logical thing anyway? LOL

    • Oh well, when was Beef Club known for any rational, logical thing anyway? LOL – Murudu Rampai

      Well said! The ‘Beef Brigade’ that wolfs down tons & tons of carabeef have a beef with beef and the Sanaathana dharma followers are the BIGGEST exporters of beef! And YET, your Chaddi bros – they wanna ban beef? hahahahaa!

      Man.. you gotta teach them stuff. After all, YOU are THE MAN.. the EDUCATOR.. professor! Well,…. you have been educating McDonald’s NOT to use beef in their ‘Bargars’! Have they complied? Will they EVER?

      Murudeshwara Rampai…. tell you what, ya – take a break! Stop eulogizing! Stop preaching! Go.. get a life!

    • Original R.Pai – “Chess is forbidden as per Saudi Mufti!!”

      Recently died Kashmir Mufti too did the same thing. But RSS Pai was silent then, for he was a RSS Mufti at the time of his death!

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